The future of the industry
Until 2030, growth in Burundi will be determined by the "mobile-first" model: light web/USSD clients, instant deposits/payments through mobile wallets and eKYC by nat-ID.
Regulatory focus will shift to real-time reporting, limits, self-exclusion and age verification; expected clarification of the rules for remote casinos and the hybrid model "sportsbook + casino."
Retail will retain its role in cities, but online will increase its share through micro-betting, virtual sports and localized interfaces (kirundi/French).
The tax base will expand due to the withdrawal of turnover from the "gray zone," with stable tax rates and increased AML.
Key risks - offshore sites, payment interruptions and currency volatility; answers - partnerships with telecoms, anti-fraud analytics and responsible play.
In the baseline scenario, a compact but transparent market is formed with a stable GGR and a multiplier effect on employment in retail, IT and marketing.