The future of the industry
The baseline scenario for Djibouti is "low base, tidy pilots."
Preservation of conservative policies is likely, with the most realistic: (1) digitalization of existing draws and promotional lotteries; (2) limited permits for sports betting in the format of concessions with strict KYC/AML and limits; (3) "cash-strapped" entertainment - fantasy sports games, esports tournaments, social quizzes.
Drivers - the spread of mobile wallets, the growth of mobile Internet, event tourism of the Red Sea and port transit traffic.
Barriers - small capacity of the domestic market, currency and compliance restrictions, lack of a transparent online license.
Niche, controlled development is expected until 2030; a jump is possible only when a clear regulatory framework appears (licenses, RNG/RTP audits, player protection), integration with local payments and responsible play standards.
For operators, the compliance-first strategy and light products with minimal advertising are applicable.