The future of the industry
The prospect of the Guinea-Bissau market depends on the codification of the rules and the emergence of an understandable online license with uniform requirements for KYC/AML, age control and self-control tools (limits, self-exclusion).
Growth will be supported by mobile payments, agency networks, digitalization of lotteries/rates and point hotel and entertainment projects (including on the Bizhagosh archipelago).
The basic risks are low solvency, going offshore, match fixing and cyber threats.
Scenarios until 2030: basic - gradual legalization of online formats and stabilization of taxes; optimistic - inflow of investments, regional compatibility of rules in ECOWAS, growth in the share of non-cash payments; conservative - preservation of fragmentation and dominance of the gray sector.