The future of the industry

Until 2030, the basic scenario for Comor is the continuation of the prohibitive model without a legal market for casinos, betting and online games.

Drivers of immutability: religious and cultural attitudes, limited administrative resources and social policy priorities.

Possible "narrow windows" of reforms are the creation of a state/quasi-state lottery with targeted funding for public programs or one-time charity draws under strict supervision.

The authorities are likely to focus on strengthening payment control: blocking merchants, BIN/IP filters, CCP/sanctions screening, combating offshore targeting.

For operators, this means permanent high compliance risk and the need to exclude Comoros from T&S, and for consumers - the lack of legal offers and protection.

In a rare reform scenario, the starting frame would have included: a basic licensing law, a GGR tax, responsible gambling and AML/CFT regulations, and a cap on advertising and geo-rings with neighboring tourist markets.