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The future of the industry

Until 2030, the Tanzanian market will remain "mobile-first": the core of growth will be provided by online betting and casinos within the bookmaking ecosystems, micro-betting and live markets.

Payments are more deeply integrated with mobile wallets and banking APIs, eKYC/AML will switch to biometrics and nat-ID verification; regulatory vector - reporting near real time, responsible game tools (limits, self-exclusion, age-verification) and more targeted advertising rules.

Content will shift to localization (Swahili/English), virtual sports, fast gaming, fantasy and nascent esports.

Retail will retain its role, and offline casinos will remain niche at hotels and on tourist routes, where F&B and VIP service add margin.

Fiscally, the emphasis is on expanding the base by withdrawing revolutions from the "gray zone," and not on raising rates; business focus - anti-fraud analytics, telco partnerships and data-driven marketing.

Key risks - tightening advertising norms, payment failures and currency volatility; answers - proactive compliance, reservation of payment channels and diversification of the product line.

The baseline scenario is moderate but steady growth in GGR and employment while increasing market transparency and social responsibility.

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