The future of the industry

The basic scenario is the conservation of the model: land casinos will remain a niche service for hotels and will be focused on non-residents, and a ban will remain for citizens.

Growth is possible due to the upgrade of resort infrastructure (renovation of halls, VIP-segment, F&B and show formats), increased year-round download and casino-friendly packages for foreigners.

Government products (National Lottery and PROMOSPORT) are likely to continue digitalization of points of sale and strengthen compliance (AML/KYC, advertising, responsibility).

Offshore blocking and payment filters will be a priority online; the launch of a legal B2C-iGaming is unlikely.

An alternative (low probability) scenario is point pilots of state formats in numbers without the admission of private operators.

For business, the conclusion is simple: focus on a high-quality resort product, partnerships with hotels, responsible marketing and "free" pricing (e-sports/events without bets) as traffic support.