The future of the industry

Until 2030, Afghanistan is likely to maintain zero tolerance for gambling: casinos and betting will remain illegal, and supervision will be strengthened by deep filtering of traffic, suppressing crypto-onramps/offramps and tracking intermediaries.

Regular raids and criminal liability will deter the underground, forming a high risk for participants.

Legalization of any form (including lotteries) seems extremely unlikely on ideological grounds.

The final vector is the absence of legal GGR, an increase in cybersecurity costs and a stable outflow of "gambling" demand to foreign jurisdictions and offshore channels.