The future of the industry
The basic trajectory is to maintain the ban: strengthening locks, monitoring payments, tightening liability for organizers and participants.
Government priority is law and order and capital control, not fiscal fees from gambling.
Risk drivers: technological "race" with the underground (VPN/crypto), social effects of illegal play, cross-border "game tourism."
Scenarios to 2030:- Conservative (basic): total prohibitive model, point raids and prevention, zero legal revenue.
- Cautious revision (low probability): technical pilot legalization of one state lottery or charity draws under strict control and local billing.
- Tough conservation: additional criminalization of related advertising/IT services, expansion of financial filters and fines.
- IR projects and private online formats are not expected over the next few years; regulatory focus - on prevention, compliance with payment systems and public communication about the risks of illegal play.