The future of the industry

The basic scenario is the status quo: a complete ban for citizens, the absence of an online market and rare point casinos for foreigners under tight control, operating only with favorable external conditions (borders, sanctions, the flow of tourists).

Liberalization is not visible: ideology and security are more important than fiscal benefits.

Possible options:

Cautious expansion of the currency showcase - limited projects in the FEZ while improving external conditions.
Conservation/curtailment - with tougher sanctions and border regime, facilities are idle or closed.
Key factors: foreign policy, tourism, currency access, epidemiological regime.
In the horizon of the early 2030s, the industry will remain peripheral and opaque, without a mass domestic market.