The future of the industry

Until 2030, a conservative track is most likely: gambling will remain banned, and regulatory efforts will focus on filtering traffic, blocking illegal platforms and controlling payments abroad.

Cosmetic changes are possible - modernization of state lotteries, digital draws without bets, campaigns to prevent addiction.

Scenarios with "tourist zones" or limited online licenses look unrealistic and would require a radical revision of economic and social policies.

Key risks - gray online segment and its migration to instant messengers/crypto channels; the priority of the state is prevention, blocking and financial monitoring.