Until 2030, the Bulgarian industry will be "online-first": mobile live-betting, micro-markets and database personalization at a constant tax rate according to the GGR model (~ 20%).
Due to strict advertising restrictions, competition shifts to UX quality, payout speed and bonus transparency; responsible-by-design (limits, self-exclusion ≥1 year, reality-checks) and demonstration of social responsibility become key.
Payments go to cashless and open-banking, eID/KYC and anti-fraud increase.
The offline segment is consolidated in Sofia and the Black Sea resorts, relies on premium service and events.
Risks - margin pressure due to compliance and marketing restrictions; opportunities - local content, tournaments, live casinos and partnerships with sports leagues with strict observance of integrity and data rights.
Bottom line: online growth, a cleaner market and competition with service rather than loud ads.