The future of the industry
Until 2030, Lebanon is likely to maintain a conservative model: the only concession for offline casinos, goslotery and narrow mutual bets at the hippodrome.
Priorities - tough AML/KYC, advertising control and suppression of offshore online casinos.
Expected "soft" digitalization: expansion of online channels for the sale of lotteries/instant tickets, personal limits and anti-fraud.
Casino du Liban will focus on premium service, events and non-gaming revenue (F&B, shows), as well as point slot upgrades/ETGs.
The key drivers and risks are tourism, currency volatility and energy science.
Scenarios:- Basic: status quo, moderate investment, strict compliance.
- Optimistic: macrostabilization → growth of tourist flow, upgrade of casinos and lottery digital channels.
- Cautious: increased restrictions and outflow of demand offshore, volatile revenue.