The nearest trajectory is evolutionary, without sharp liberalizations.
The regulatory architecture set by Gambling Act 2016 and FSRC/Directorate of Offshore Gaming oversight will remain the foundation: the jurisdiction will continue to sell Interactive Gaming and Interactive Wagering licenses as an export service, maintaining a "Tier-1" image through tightening due diligence, AML/CFT and technical monitoring.
Point upgrades are expected: updating requirements for providers, payment transparency and remote monitoring, while maintaining the basic collection matrix (benchmarks: annually ~ US $100k for Interactive Gaming and ~ US $75k for Interactive Wagering, plus reserves/monitoring).
The external circuit will continue to be affected by the long-term dispute between the WTO (DS285) and the United States on cross-border online services: periodic statements about possible steps to retort on IP support the negotiation agenda, but do not change the "operational" market model.
The offline segment (around King's Casino in St. John's) will continue as a niche dependent on cruise tourism; site system extensions are not visible.
Digitalization and export of B2C/B2B services will remain the main growth driver.
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