The future of the industry

The starting point is the lack of local licensing and occasional access of residents to foreign online platforms.

On the horizon until 2030, key factors are the expansion of mobile Internet (including satellite), the growth of smartphones, digital transfers from the diaspora and the request for consumer protection.

1. Status quo: the market remains outside the legal field, risks for players and the leakage of the tax base are growing.

2. Soft legalization: launching a national/social lottery and local draws with basic rules (age, limits, self-exclusion, audit) to fund sports and community projects.

3. Limited online regulation: a small number of licenses under strict KYC/AML, deposit/advertising limits and moderate GGR tax; reliance on external registries and agreements with neighboring regulators.

Taking into account the vulnerability of atolls to climate risks, the priority will be to minimize harm: financial literacy, a "black list" of sites, blocking payments for unlicensed services and transparent reporting on beneficiaries.

Realistic start - lotteries and charity games with phased digitalization and monitoring of offshore activity.