The future of the industry
The basic vector of Palau is the preservation of a prohibitive model for casinos and classic online gambling.
A realistic growth window is narrow digital concessions under the supervision of the Ministry of Finance (lotteries, gaming products with fixed mechanics) with strict KYC/AML requirements, deposit limits and reporting.
Drivers: expansion of mobile/satellite Internet, payment digitalization, request for transparent sources of income without compromising the reputation of an ecotouristic brand.
Three scenarios through 2030:1. Status quo +: ban + limited concessions, low macro contribution, emphasis on education and offshore blocking.
2. Social model: development of a national digital lottery with targeted sports/environmental funding and a strong Responsible Gaming program.
3. Regulatory "sandbox-minimum": pilots of individual online formats with a cap on licenses and strict advertising policies.
KPI: share of funds for social projects, coverage of RG tools, reduced traffic to unlicensed sites, compliance with AML estimates.
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