Online Market Growth Prospects - Paraguay

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1) Regulatory "locomotive" of growth: law and regulations of 2025

In 2025, the country received an updated framework for digital games: published by Ley 7438/2025 (modified by Ley 1016/1997) and published by Decreto 3846/2025, which regulates it. The decree simultaneously creates Dirección General de Juegos de Azar, describes the rules for software/systems and operator documentation (ticket/check forms approve CONAJZAR and homologate DNIT), and formalizes a new supervision structure. These changes open the way for modern digital verticals and speed up the process of bringing new modalities to market.

Why does the market need it. Business receives transparent processes (publication of plegs, requirement for IT standards and reporting), and the state receives tools for de-privatization (up to the preventive closure of illegal points and the seizure of equipment).

2) Institutional "reset": CONAJZAR inside DNIT

Since 2025, CONAJZAR has been acting as a body in the DNIT circuit: the commission still prepares and approves pliegos and holds competitions, and DNIT provides an administration infrastructure, including homologation of document forms and collection of canons. The DNIT portal records this status and publishes "Marco Jurídico."

Effect. Centralization increases the resource provision of supervision and accelerates the "cycle" of verticals in the online format, which is directly noted by industry media.

3) Payment readiness: SPI 24/7 as a conversion booster

The Central Bank of Paraguay (BCP) deployed Sistema de Pagos Instantáneos (SPI) - instant interbank transfers 24/7 to ₲5. 000. 000 with a target speed of up to 5 seconds. For online operators, this means a higher percentage of successful deposits/withdrawals and less dependence on card restrictions. BCP statistics show a rapid increase in the use of SPI.

4) Status transparency: official register

Registro Nacional de Operadores is maintained and updated through DNIT/MEF; the regulator requires admitted companies to maintain the relevance of documents, and certificates are published online. This reduces the risk of "gray" shop windows and increases confidence in legal brands.

5) Where the market is tight: Online betting exclusive

The online sports betting segment remains an exclusive national concession (holder - DARUMA SAM S.A., Apostala brand, awarded in November 2022 according to Resolución CONAJZAR Nº 48/2022, confirmed by decree 2023). As long as this concession is valid, there will be no full-fledged multi-license competition in rates. Nevertheless, the authorities in 2025 publicly associate the reform with the demonopolization of the model on the horizon of new competitions.

6) Fighting "clandestino": stripping creates demand from "white" brands

The new DNIT-CONAJZAR configuration has strengthened the practice of operational checks and seizures of illegal equipment, as well as blocking illegal remote activity. This pulls traffic to legal operators and increases the LTV of users thanks to stable payments and understandable protection of rights.

7) What could grow fastest (2025-2028)

Online casinos (casino online) - when launching the corresponding contests under the new procedure: economies of scale based on local brands + international B2B content providers already present in the country (evolution of portfolios at local licensees). Regulation 3846/2025 provides a procedural basis.

Hybrid models "offline ↔ online" - due to instant payments SPI and unified reporting/documents (DNIT homologation), which reduces friction between channel products.

Responsible game/compliance services - the demand for KYC/AML and reporting IT modules is growing following regulatory requirements (document and telemetry standards).

8) Risks and limitations

Temporary "narrowness" of rates: Apostala exclusive before the end of the concession limits the entry of new brands in sports betting.

Investment lag: even with ready-made norms, the launch of tenders/projects takes time (preparation of plegs, selection, IT integration).

White status communication: Players should easily find the resolution/decree number and registry entry - some brands underestimate this conversion factor.

9) Roadmap for operator (12-24 months)

1. Legal track: monitor Marco Jurídico DNIT/CONAJZAR (adverts of plegies on online modalities) and prepare a package for the competition/authorization; on the website and in the application, reserve the "Legal Information" block in advance for act numbers.

2. Tech-contour and reporting: bring tickets/checks/reports to the formats approved by CONAJZAR and homologated by DNIT; plan telemetry/logging for the requirements of DG de Juegos de Azar.

3. Payments: add SPI/SIPAP as the first line of deposits/withdrawals and local cards - for maximum conversion; clearly disclose limits/deadlines/fees.

4. Content: prepare integrations with international providers (as part of local authorization), but publish them only after there is a legal basis (resolution/decree number).

5. Anticlandestino-comms: in marketing, emphasize legal status (link to the register/acts) - this reduces risks and increases trust.

Paraguay has reached the phase of structural growth of the online market: the law and regulations of 2025 set transparent rules of the game and strengthened institutions (DNIT/CONAJZAR + DG de Juegos de Azar), SPI 24/7 eliminated payment bottlenecks, and the registry and anti-candestino measures increase user confidence. Key deterrence - exclusive to online betting until the current concession is completed; however, the expected demonopolization of the model and the launch of online casino contests create a window of opportunity on the horizon 2025-2028. Those who are the first to prepare a legal package, IT reporting for DNIT homologation and local payment strategy will win.