Why a 1% bankroll rate is the golden rule
1) The essence of the rule in one paragraph
A rate ≈ 1% of the current bankroll smoothes the variance and reduces the risk of "breaking" from a series of failures, while maintaining a normal pace of play. This is a simple universal preset that works in slots, roulette, live games and even sports betting as a default risk limiter.
2) Why exactly 1% - mathematics and common sense
1% is a compromise of three forces:- Variance. The smaller the fraction of BR, the lower the probability of deep drawdown on a typical batch.
- Playtime. 1% gives enough attempts to make the game interesting and predictable in terms of budget.
- Psychology. Losing 10-20 bets in a row at 1% is frustrating but not devastating; at 3-5% - easily leads to tilt.
Mini-assessment: let an unfavorable series of 50-100 attempts happen during the session. At a rate of 1%, even − 20 bets in a row will take about 20% of BR; this is a lot, but experienced. At 3%, you are unlikely to survive the same series.
3) "pocket calculator" formulas
Bet on the round: 'Stake = 0. 01 × BR`.
Turnover for N attempts: 'Turnover = Stake × N'.
Expected "price" of the session: 'Loss _ exp ≈ Turnover × edge' (where edge = 1 − RTP, in fractions).
Survival check: with high volatility, lay a series of 100-300 empty spins; the total loss should not knock you out of the game until stop loss.
Example: BR = 300 cu., Bet 3 y. e. (1%). 800 spins → turnover 2400. At edge 4%, the expected "price" ≈ 96 cu. Plan stop loss (for example, 20-30% BR) and time so as not to try to "catch up."
4) Volatility dictates interest
High volatility (red-hot slots, bonus purchase): 0. 25–0. 75% BR.
Average volatility (most slots/desktop): ~ 1% BR.
Low volatility (1:1 bets, neat blackjack): 1-2% BR.
The logic is simple: the wider the spread, the smaller the share of the bet. This is not about "losing less," but about playing longer and more stable within the chosen budget.
5) Why not 3-5% (and even more so not more)
Risk of "short death": A common series of misses quickly eat up 30-50% of BR.
Psychology: Rate rise as a percentage of BR enhances tilt and progressions.
Math: At EV <0, a larger fraction accelerates the path to the average minus of the'edge × Turner' and increases the chance of a premature end to the session.
6) Sports and plus EV: 1% as a hard ceiling at the start
Even if you have a model and EV> 0, start with 0. 5-1% BR (or fractional Kelly ¼ - ½ if you count p). Reasons: estimation error, market correlation, limits, taxes/commission. Confirmed stability - scale carefully.
7) How to implement the 1% rule - step by step
1. Identify bankroll (BR) - money you can risk without harm.
2. Pick a game and rate the volatility.
3. Rate: 0. 25–0. 75% (high volatility )/ ~ 1% (medium )/1-2% (low).
4. Put the framework: stop loss (-20... - 40% BR per session), break profit (+ 30... + 150% - the higher the volatility, the wider the goal), time limit.
5. Watch the rules and RTP. The same slot can be 96 %/94 %/92%.
6. Keep a diary: turnover, result, drawdown depth. Adjust the interest rate for real volatility.
8) Bonuses and vager: 1% helps to "live"
Wagering = high turnover ⇒ the formula 'Cost ≈ Bonus × Wager × edge' works.
Bet ~ 0. 25-1% BR reduces the chance of bankruptcy before the conditions are met, especially if medium/low volatility games are allowed and there is a bet limit under the rules.
9) Frequent errors
Fix the rate in currency, not% of BR. After a drawdown of 1 cu. No longer 1%, but more - the risk grows. Bid from the current BR.
Raise% after a series of minuses. This is a progression and an accelerator of turnover → an accelerator of mathematical minus.
Forget about volatility. 1% is not a dogma; on "wild" games, the 0 range is normal. 25–0. 75%.
Ignore stop loss/time. Without frames, any percentage turns into an illusion of control.
10) Quick presets (copy and use)
Quiet session (average volatility): BR 200 → rate 2 cu. (1%), stop loss 20%, teik profit 30%.
High-volatility hunt for a hit: BR 200 → rate 0. 5-1 y. e. (0. 25–0. 5%), stop loss 30-40%, teik profit 60-150%.
Bonus payout: BR 300 → bet 0. 75–1. 5 y. e. (0. 25–0. 5%), wager monitoring, only allowed games.
Plus sport (caution): start 0. 5-1% BR or ¼ Kelly (which is less), daily risk ≤5 -8% BR.
1% of bankroll is a working "golden rule," because it balances risk, game duration and psychology without complex calculations. Under high volatility, reduce the share to 0. 25–0. 75%, low - allow 1-2%, but avoid large percentages: they quickly turn entertainment into pain. Discipline in percentage, stop loss and time - and mathematics starts to work for you, not against.
