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Why Feeling Lost Is Stronger Than Feeling Won
1) Short answer
The human brain is designed in such a way that losses are subjectively more significant than equal gains. This asymmetry (loss aversion) forces us to avoid risk in the pros and look for risk in the cons, breaking the plan and increasing the cost of mistakes. In the game, this manifests itself as an early "drain" of profit, dogon and protracted sessions "so as not to end in the red."
2) Prospect theory: asymmetry formula
Kahneman-Tversky showed that the value of the outcome is considered relative to the reference point (usually "now") and asymmetric:[
v(x)=
\begin{cases}
x^\alpha, & x \ge 0 \
-\lambda,(-x)^\beta, & x<0
\end{cases}
]where (\alpha ,\beta\in (0,1)) is the decreasing sensitivity, and (\lambda> 1) is the loss rejection factor (often empirically ~ 1. 8–2. 5).
Consequences:- Winning + 100 cu. Pleases less than losing − 100 y. e. distressing.
- After a small plus, they tend to insure profits (close early), and in the red - double the risk "to return to zero."
3) Neuropsychological mechanism
Amigdala and the significance network react more strongly to threats/losses → priority processing and remembering the "negative."
Dopamine encodes the expectation of a reward: the fall relative to expectations is experienced brighter ("forecast error" with a minus sign).
Cortisol and norepinephrine, when threatened with loss, narrow attention → "short" solutions ("get rid of pain at all costs"), and not the EV optimum.
Memory and "peak-end": a sharp minus in the final session colors the entire episode, reinforcing the desire "not to end in the red" at any cost.
4) How it breaks gaming decisions
1. Disposition effect: quickly fix small pluses, hold the minuses for too long.
2. Loss dogon: increasing the rate/pace, extending the session - just not to write down the minus.
3. Avoiding profitable risks: in the black, we refuse rational decisions for fear of losing what we have already received.
4. FOMO racing: fear of omission "will return everything at once" pushes for express trains and volatile slots.
5. Micromanagement of the result: frequent balance checks increase pain from small fluctuations → more impulses.
5) Recognize yourself? Quick check
I close the profit early "so as not to float away," but I move the stop loss "so as not to fix it."
I raise the rate after the minuses and lower it after the pluses.
I extend the session "to zero," although there is a time limit.
2 + "yes" → rejection of losses already costs money.
6) Antidotes: a system of three circuits
Loop A - Before start (rule symmetry)
Reference point = plan, not "zero at any cost."
Stop loss and break profit are set together and symmetrically in probability/risk. Example: SL = 1. 5 × expected value of sales, TP = fixed multiplier to the rate.
Rate corridor: ± 10-15% of base (u =\frac {\text {session bank}} {N}); going beyond is prohibited "for the sake of playing."
Result verification window: once every 15 minutes/100 spins, not every minute.
Contour B - In Play (Pain Filters)
The pause rule is 5-10 minutes with ≥4/5 emotions, a series of minuses or "almost."
Prohibition to move SL/TP and "catch up" - changes only between sessions.
The timer and counter record the end of the block; turn off autospin when stressed.
Loop C - After (recalibration)
Magazine: turnover, result, promo, duration, emotions (1-5), LOSS, WIN-PEAK, NEAR tags.
Rolling result of 10-20 sessions against the feeling of "disease of minuses."
Once a week - symmetrical report: the proportion of early TP vs impaired SL; the goal is ≥80% compliance with both.
7) Scenario practice
A. Small plus - I want to pick up now
Check planned TP: if not reached - leave position/bid on base (u). For psychological comfort, use partial withdrawal (for example, 30-50% profit) without changing the bet corridor.
B. Minus - pulls to catch up
An immediate pause of 10 minutes. If emotions> 3/5 is the end of the block. Next week: (u) − 20%, time limit − 20%.
Remember: the goal is to minimize the cost of an hour, not "record zero at any cost."
C. FOMO: "chance to get everything back"
60-90 sec decision window for checking EV; did not have time - pass. Express trains "for the sake of a chance" are prohibited.
8) Mini sobriety calculators
Expected loss per hour (slots):[
\ mathbb {E} [\text {Loss/hr} ]\approx (1-\text {RTP} )\times\text {revolution/hour}
]Dogon → an increase in the rate/pace of → above the turnover/hour with the same house.
Symmetry of execution:[
\ text {Compliance} =\frac {#\text {SL and TP sessions} {#\text {all sessions} }\quad\text {target }\ge 0. 8
][
\ text {Net ROI} =\frac {\text {profit} -\text {commission} +\text {promo}} {\text {turnover}}
]Check the "soreness of losses" with real numbers, and not with the memory of peaks.
9) Rituals that reduce "pain of loss"
Reformulation of the goal: "play X spins in Y minutes at Z risk," and not "be at zero."
Breathing 4-7-8 and a glass of water - quick return of control.
Micro-reward offside for discipline (pause/withdrawal on plan) - dopamine without risk.
"Pencil": before starting to write out the SL/TP/setpoint - increases compliance.
10) Short mythbuster
"You can't fix a minus - you have to wait for zero. "- It's a loss aversion trap; often more expensive on EV.
"Once a little in the black, I'll pick it up and leave. "- Early TP at fixed SL breaks strategy expectation.
"Now I'll risk more and return it. "- Risk is increasing, EV is not; increased expected loss per hour.
11) The bottom line
The feeling of loss is really stronger - this is the norm of the psyche, not your "weakness." The danger begins where this asymmetry drives rates and time. Cure - Symmetric Rules (SL/TP), Rate Corridor, Rare Balance Checks, Pauses, and Journal. With such tools, you translate solutions from "get rid of pain now" to a rational, predictable discipline that saves money at a distance.